The psychology behind Netflix’s “The Atomic Refuge”: can a group of people really fall into the same trap?

The new Netflix series The atomic refuge He conquered the global rankings and heated online discussions. Created by Álex Pina and Esther Martínez Lobato, already known for The paper housetells the story of a group of billionaires who, convinced of saving himself from an imminent conflict, take refuge in an underground luxury bunker. However, what was supposed to be a safe refuge becomes a mined field of tensions, deceptions and twists.

Beyond the plot, there is a theme that intrigues those who look: how is it possible that very rich and powerful people fall all in the same trap? The answer does not only concern television fiction, but touches real psychological dynamics and well documented by scientific research.

The 3 most common mental deceptions

To understand why the billionaires of the atomic refuge are deceived, psychology offers us three fundamental reading keys: the confirmation bias, the group thought and the effect of power.

Confirmation bias

When we have already invested (money, reputation, energies) in an idea, we tend to look for only the evidence that confirm it and discard the contrary signals. This is the case of the bunker billionaires: they bought the promise of salvation and therefore they above all notice data, “experts” and stories that strengthen that choice, while minimizing inconsistencies. In psychology this mechanism is well documented (Nickerson, 1998): it happens to everyone, especially under stress or in conditions of uncertainty, when the brain prefers consistency to complexity.

Groupthink (group thinking)

In cohesive, isolated groups and under pressure, the need for harmony prevails over critical thinking. Self -control is created (“If we all agree, we will be right”), self -censorship of doubts, an illusion of unanimity and figures that make “guardians” of uncomfortable information. The psychologist Irving Janis thus described wrong decisions made by political and military elites. In the series bunker the conditions are perfect for Groupthink: closed space, outdoor threat, strong leaders, few independent voices. Even those who see the holes in history stops talking or are marginalized. This is how intelligent individuals also end up uniforming, renouncing doubts.

Fear

And then there is fear. According to Daniel Kahneman, Nobel Prize winner for the economy, in conditions of strong stress the “system 1” comes into play: fast, instinctive, but not very rational. In the bunker of Atomic refugethe threat of a nuclear war feeds impulsive decisions, where survival instinct prevails over lucid analysis.

Power does not protect: when leaders are more vulnerable to deceptions

The series also shows another illusion well: believe that wealth and status make them shiny. In reality, power does not make immune to cognitive errors, on the contrary it can amplify them.

A study published in 2024 on Journal of Experimental Social Psychology From Lamprinakos and colleagues has shown that power can both increase and reduce incorrect behavior, depending on the thoughts that are validated. In other words: if those who have power tends to justify a certain behavior, the feeling of power will make it even more inclined to follow him. On the contrary, if it starts from critical thoughts, power will strengthen its resistance.

This means that power acts as a “magnifying glass”: amplifies what is already in a person’s mind.

Translated into the series: if you start from the idea “money buy security”, power will make you believe even more in the bunker plan and will lower the supervision; If you start skeptical, power can strengthen your resistance – but Groupthink can still silence you. It is not surprising then that the billionaires of the series fall easily in the bunker trap.

Experiments that demonstrate how easy it is to conform

The mechanism does not only concern the elites, but all of us. The classic experiments of Solomon Asch (1951) have shown how people can deny evidence to conform to the group: in a simple visual test, many participants adapted to the wrong response of the majority.

Stanley Milgram (1961) also showed how the pressure of an authority can push common individuals to perform actions that they would never have done alone. These studies reveal that a golden bunker is not needed to fall into a trap: the right context is enough.

From fiction to reality: the lesson of the atomic refuge

Look at The atomic refugewe can read beyond the plot. The series reminds us that the human mind has very specific limits: cognitive bias, fear and social pressure can deceive anyone, regardless of wealth or power.

It is not only entertainment, but also a mirror of our collective vulnerability. Because after all, the question that remains is: if we were in a similar context, would we really be so different from the bunker billionaires?

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